European recession hits North Sea Port freight transhipment in first half of year
In 2022 North Sea Port recorded the best first half of the year ever, but this will not be the case in 2023. The 11% drop in transhipment is mostly seen in recession-sensitive products such as building materials, (automotive) steel and petroleum products including gas and diesel oil.
Cargotype
Shown by cargo type, liquid bulk transhipment (7.1 million tons) fell 18%, including gas and diesel oil, naphtha and chemical products. Dry bulk (18.4 million tons) decreased by 9%. There was a reduced transhipment of coal, after all extra stockpiling last autumn. Transhipment of cement clinker also declined, in line with the declining trend in building materials.
Containers (1.1 million tons) saw a 7% decline. In TEU, there was a small decrease (110,000 TEU, -1.5%). Ro/ro (1.9 million tons) decreased by 4%. Transhipment of general cargo (breakbulk, 5.0 million tons) fell 11%.
Decline in trade with Russia
Russia was the main trading partner in the first half of 2022. In the second half this was completely different: trade with Russia more than halved (-56%), dropping to seventh place, largely due to EU sanctions.
Trade with Ukraine has declined further (-10%). This transhipment is partially taken up by transhipment from Poland (+0.5 million, +138%, mainly cereals), Australia (+28%), Belgium (+20%) and Canada (+6%). The United States is currently the most important trading partner.
Inland shipping
Like sea freight transhipment, inland navigation transhipment also fell, but to a less extent. For the first six months, the decline amounted to 31.3 million tons of transhipment (-6.0%).
The future
The European recession that set in at the end of last year and beginning of this year, is keenly felt in the cargo handling of international player North Sea Port. Despite the fact that the Netherlands and Belgium were not officially in recession during this period. 11% less sea freight transhipment, takes North Sea Port back to 2017 levels (not taking into account corona year 2020). Stocks at the port are well-restocked but rotate less because of lower demand. Periods of maintenance at some major companies will also affect transhipment. Expectations are that the economy in Europe will rebound which could produce a stronger fourth quarter by the year end.
